Skip to main content


      A low productivity growth period

      Productivity growth goes in cycles and Australia is currently within the normal bounds of a low productivity growth period, rather than a crisis as commonly characterised.

      KPMG's study on Australia's productivity outcomes indicates that the country's productivity alternates between enduring, albeit transient, phases of high and low growth.

      The expected period of high growth regime typically extends for an estimated 8 quarters, while low productivity periods tend to last approximately 12 quarters. There are a number of key factors driving labour productivity, as well as options for policymakers to consider to help lift the country out of the current slowdown.  

      Download the report to read more.
       

      Download

      Trends in Australia's productivity growth

      Further research and findings


      What does Australia's productivity slowdown look like?

      here

      We should expect Australia to see a productivity rebound sometime soon

      Periods of low productivity are seen to last marginally longer in Australia. However, recent data from the United States is indicating a resurgence in productivity, and given the economic parallels between the two countries, it is not unreasonable to anticipate that Australia will follow suit in the future.

      Further attention should be devoted to lifting productivity growth

      KPMG recommends further attention in areas such as education and training for unemployed people, migration programs and labour mobility to lift productivity growth.

      A number of labour market influences affect productivity

      Analysis shows that a significant portion of productivity growth in Australia can be explained by three factors: the productivity that occurred in the last quarter; the number of new workers in the labour force and how tight the labour market is.



      Trends in Australia's productivity growth: Research and findings

      Detailed analysis of the productivity growth performance of Australia.

       

      Download

      Trends in Australia's productivity growth

      Further research and findings


      How KPMG's Economics team can help

      For KPMG’s productivity research, KPMG created a model that calculates the probability of being in each regime in a given quarter. The model is a regime-switching model that we use to study the tendency of productivity growth to move between periods.

      If KPMG can help your business in any way navigate the current business environment and plan for any future developments that are facing the industry, then please contact us.

      Dr Brendan Rynne

      Partner, Chief Economist

      KPMG Australia

      Dr Michael Malakellis

      Principal Director, KPMG Economics & Tax Centre

      KPMG Australia



      Related economics services

      KPMG advises on immigration strategies for companies and individuals.


      Further economics insights and analysis

      Q1 2025 – After nearing recession mid-year, the Australian economy recovered at the end of 2024, reaching its strongest quarterly growth rate in two years.

      Read more

      Analysis of Australia's productivity growth performance, with consideration of the appropriate use of the term 'crisis'.
      Read more

      KPMG’s response to the Jobs and Skills Australia Consultation: Draft Core Skills Occupations List, supporting Australia's ongoing immigration program.