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      17 July 2026


      An uptick in the number of owner-occupiers across Western Australia, Queensland and Victoria has shown that the dream of homeownership remained alive even in tough housing market.  

      Since 2021, nearly 600,000 Australian households have become owner-occupiers, according to new analysis by KPMG Australia.  That number was sharply higher than the previous four-year period, when the number of new owner-occupiers was around 490,000.

      The proportion of Queenslanders who lived in a home they owned lifted from 63.9 per cent in 2021 to 64.9 per cent in 2025.  Meanwhile, the proportion of owner-occupiers grew from 69.2 per cent in 2021 to 69.9 in 2025 in Western Australia.  Victoria held steady over the period with 68.7 per cent of the households owning the home they lived in.

      “Western Australia and Queensland offered a rare combination during the pandemic: relatively affordable homes, ultra-low borrowing costs and the flexibility for people to work from almost anywhere,” KPMG Urban Economist Terry Rawnsley said.

      “As a result, people may have sold their homes in those states or taken advantage of cheaper housing to enter the property market when they otherwise could not have afforded to do so in somewhere like Sydney.

      “The data shows affordability is redrawing the housing map.” 

      The KPMG analysis combined Census and ABS housing survey statistics with rental bond data to estimate owner-occupier rates. It showed a shift in the housing market, as ultra-low interest rates and the rise of remote working, allowed people to access a wider range of housing options.

      Nationally, the proportion of owner-occupier households nationally dropped from 66.3% in 2021 to 65.9% in 2025.  That decline was mainly driven by Sydney and Regional New South Wales, with many younger homebuyers being locked out of the housing market.

      But stripping out New South Wales from the national number, the owner-occupiers rate remained roughly unchanged between 2021 and 2025.  Sydneysiders led the decline in New South Wales, with the owner-occupier rate in the city dropping to 59.9%, sharply down compared to 61.1% in 2021.  

      “Sydney has gone backwards on home ownership by more than half a century. The city probably has not seen ownership rates this low since the late 1950s, which shows just how far affordability has moved against households trying to buy where they live,” Mr Rawnsley said.

      “The owner-occupiers rate in Melbourne held steady as stable housing supply, particularly in Melbourne’s greenfield growth areas, was available at price points accessible to first-home buyers.”

      Nationally, the owner-occupier rate in 2025 remained sharply lower than it was two decades ago, highlighting the need to continue supporting the current generation of first-home buyers. 

      “In addition to boosting housing supply, leveling the playing field for first home buyers and supporting their to access home ownership sooner are really important reforms,” Mr Rawnsley said.  

      Still, there are positive signs for home ownership, according to recent data.  The number of dwellings under construction reached a record 243,900 in the March quarter, up from 220,300 a year earlier.  And despite rising interest rates, the number of loans issued to first-home buyers increased from 117,200 in the year to March 2025 to 120,500 in the year to March 2026, recent ABS data showed.

      “The dream of owning a home is far from dead. Australians are adapting, relocating and working hard to get into the market, and the combination of more housing supply and targeted support is creating a pathway to home ownership for more households," Mr Rawnsley said.

      Method Overview

      The ABS has historically published data on homeownership rates, but the most recent survey data is from 2019–20, limiting insights into more recent trends. The 2021 Census was conducted during the COVID-19 lockdowns and may not fully reflect more recent housing market conditions. To address this data gap, KPMG has combined historical Census data, ABS survey data, and rental bond statistics to estimate the number of owner-occupier households. The estimates have also been cross-checked against other indicators, including first-home buyer lending data, to ensure they align with broader housing market trends. 

      Step 1: Census baseline: For each Census year, households with tenure listed as "not stated" are allocated across owner-occupiers, renters (private, public and not for profits), and other rental types (normally employer provided housing) using the national tenure distribution from the ABS Housing Occupancy and Costs Survey (HOCS). The closest available HOCS year, or an average of survey years, is used for each Census. 

      Step 2: Estimate private rentals: The number of private rental households is estimated using changes in the number of active rental bonds between 2021 and 2025.  

      Step 3: Estimate total households: Total households are estimated using household growth from the ABS Labour Force Status of Families data. This means the Census counts align to the counts in 2021 rather than the Labour Force Survey estimates of households.  

      Step 4: Estimate other rental types: Households in other rental tenures are estimated using total dwelling numbers and the average share of these tenure types observed across the previous three Census periods. 

      Step 5: Calculate owner occupiers: The number of owner-occupier households is calculated as Owner-occupiers = Total households − Renters − Other rental. The owner-occupier estimates were validated against first-home buyer lending data for the period 2021–2025. The calibration was based on the historical relationship between first-home buyer loan approvals from 2016–2021 and the increase in owner-occupier dwellings observed in the Census. 

      Step 6: Calculate the owner occupier rate: The owner-occupier rate is then derived by dividing estimated owner-occupier households by total households. For early Census years prior to 1996, the owner occupier rate is taken from available data, which can exclude not stated from the totals.

       

      Notes

      Census data reflects the Census night in August, while the KPMG for 2025 estimate reflects 30 June 2025. The 2025 estimate is preliminary and subject to revision. 

      The analysis includes people living in a home they own and occupy. It does not count people who owned residential property but were renting the home they lived in on Census night as homeowners.

      Bond data is not publicly available for the 2021–2025 period for the Northern Territory and the Australian Capital Territory. For 2025, these territories are included in the national totals, with the 2025 estimates derived using a trend-based method.  

      Data on rental bonds from NSW Fair Trading is available at the postcode level. Postcodes located within the Greater Sydney region were used to estimate the 2025 estimates. The Homes Victoria Rental Report provides data on the number of rental bonds in the Greater Melbourne area.

       

      Data Sources

      KPMG analysis of ABS Census, Housing Occupancy and Costs, Labour Force Status of Families, Lending indicators, Building Activity and NSW Fair Trading, Homes Victoria Rental Report, QLD Residential Tenancies Authority, WA Rental Bond Data.



      For further information

      Samantha Bailey
      Senior Media Relations Manager
      KPMG Australia
      0422 082 893
      sbailey8@kpmg.com.au