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      KPMG’s forecast for house prices in 2025

      House prices in 2025 are forecast to rise by 4.9%, up from earlier expectations of 3.3%, driven by earlier-than-expected rate cuts and renewed buyer confidence. Unit prices are expected to grow by 4.5%, supported by affordability-driven demand.

      KPMG anticipates more balanced growth in 2026, with house prices rising 4.5% and units by 5.1%, as supply improves and population growth normalises.



      Key insights into Australia's residential property market

      • Rate cuts have boosted buyer sentiment

        The RBA delivered two rate cuts in early 2025, earlier than expected, lifting national house price forecasts to 4.9% and supporting a turnaround from last year’s subdued market.

      • Affordability pressures shift demand to units

        With house prices rising faster than incomes, buyers are increasingly turning to units, townhouses, and apartments as more accessible options.

      • Rental growth moderates but remains elevated

        Annual rental inflation eased to 4.5% in June 2025, down from 8.5% in December 2023, supported by increased Commonwealth Rent Assistance and rising vacancy rates.

      • Housing supply improving but still below targets

        KPMG forecasts 160,000 new dwellings annually over the next two years – 30% below the national target of 224,000 homes needed to meet the National Housing Accord.



      Download: Residential Property Market Outlook – August 2025

      KPMG’s analysis of the national dwelling market

      Download

      Residential Property Market Outlook

      August 2025

      Download

      Residential Property Market Outlook

      January 2025
      Download

      Residential Property Market Outlook

      June 2024


      Why KPMG

      KPMG’s team of expert economists analyse the residential property market, providing historic and forecast figures regarding dwelling prices by property type and market.

      If KPMG can help your business in any way navigate the current business environment and plan for any future developments that are facing the economic climate, please contact us. 



      Contact KPMG's Economic team



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