Venture investment across the Americas remained resilient, led by large US rounds and sustained interest in AI and its supporting infrastructure. Conditions varied elsewhere: caution weighed on activity in Canada, while parts of Latin America showed renewed momentum. The quarter reinforced a highly selective market in which capital favored scalable, defensible businesses aligned with major technology and infrastructure themes.
- The US continued to account for most regional investment
- Large rounds remained concentrated in AI and supporting infrastructure
- Canada experienced a more cautious investment environment
- Mexico and Brazil showed improving quarter-over-quarter momentum
- Fintech remained a key focus across Latin America
US mega-rounds continue to shape regional activity
The US remained the primary driver of venture investment across the Americas, supported by numerous large rounds and continued conviction in AI. Investor interest extended beyond models and applications to the broader ecosystem, including compute, data centers, semiconductors, energy and advanced manufacturing. This concentration underscores a bifurcated market: companies aligned with high-priority technology themes continued to attract substantial attention, while businesses outside those areas faced greater scrutiny. Investors increasingly emphasized differentiation, defensibility, revenue traction and a credible path to scale.
Regional momentum diverges outside the US
Market conditions varied significantly across the rest of the Americas. In Canada, trade uncertainty contributed to a more cautious approach across investment and exit activity, even as new public and private initiatives aimed to strengthen long-term capital formation. Mexico and Brazil moved in a more positive direction during the quarter. Fintech remained a central theme across Latin America, while interest also expanded toward AI-enabled business models, data-center infrastructure and business-to-business technology. The result was a region with improving pockets of activity, but still uneven depth and scale.
AI infrastructure and fintech lead sector interest
AI and the infrastructure required to support it remained central to investor priorities across the Americas. In the US, capital flowed toward compute, data centers, energy, manufacturing and physical AI, reflecting a shift toward the foundations needed to scale enterprise adoption. In Mexico, data-center-related manufacturing emerged as a notable growth theme alongside AI-enabled financial services. Across Latin America, fintech—particularly digital banking models—continued to attract attention, while AI increasingly appeared as an embedded capability within business software rather than as a standalone category. These patterns point to broader regional diversification around practical, scalable technology applications.
Trends to watch for in Q4'26
Venture investment across the Americas is expected to remain robust, with AI and AI-related infrastructure continuing to command attention. Investors are likely to focus on solutions that address ecosystem constraints such as compute, energy, manufacturing capacity and physical deployment. In Canada, newly announced investment initiatives may support future activity, although trade uncertainty could continue to influence timing and risk appetite. In Mexico and Latin America, fintech is expected to remain a core theme, while AI investment may center on enabling established businesses rather than purely AI-native models. Across the region, selectivity, defensibility and demonstrated business value will remain important investment criteria.
Venture Pulse Q3’26
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Carolina de Oliveira
Global Lead of Emerging Giants, KPMG International and Partner and Private Enterprise Leader KPMG Brazil and South America Cluster
KPMG in Brazil