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      Barometer Pulse 2026: Taking the pulse of UK private enterprise

      Confidence remains high despite a more challenging environment
       

      The KPMG Barometer Pulse is a mid-year snapshot of business sentiment across the UK's private enterprise market. Conducted in June 2026, the research captures the views of 1,500 business owners and senior leaders from privately owned businesses across every UK region and a broad range of sectors.

      This year's findings reveal a business community that remains ambitious despite a more challenging operating environment. While confidence has softened from late 2025 levels, 80% of leaders remain confident about growth prospects. Businesses continue to pursue expansion through new products, services and markets, while investment in technology has accelerated significantly. At the same time, leaders are navigating persistent cost pressures, global disruption and policy uncertainty, reinforcing the importance of resilience, productivity and long-term planning.


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      Key findings










      Private enterprises back growth despite uncertainty

      Despite a more volatile economic and geopolitical backdrop, UK private enterprises remain focused on growth. Confidence remains high, investment priorities are evolving, and business leaders continue to balance near-term challenges with long-term ambitions.


      Highlights

      • 80% of private enterprise leaders remain confident

        in their firm's growth prospects over the next year.

      • Workforce investment is increasing,

        with 37% prioritising skills and capability building to support future growth.

      • 47% identify inflation and cost pressures as their biggest short-term risk,

        making cost management the foremost challenge facing businesses.

      • Technology investment is the dominant priority,

        with 66% planning to invest in areas such as AI, cyber security and digital transformation.

      • 56% say the UK economic outlook will influence long-term planning,

        highlighting the importance of growth and productivity across future business decisions.

      • 45% see regulatory and tax stability as critical for long-term investment,

        underlining the importance of predictability for business planning and growth.


      Confidence holds as easing inflation meets ongoing global and fiscal risks


      Growth ambitions endure as cost pressures rise

      Business leaders are adapting to a complex environment through investment, transformation and growth initiatives. The data highlights how organisations are balancing risk management, operational resilience and expansion plans while navigating policy, capital and workforce challenges.


      Highlights

      • 25% cite tax and fiscal policy uncertainty as a significant short-term risk,

        reflecting continued attention on the policy environment.

      • 45% identify regulatory and tax stability as a key long-term consideration,

        making it one of the most important strategic planning factors.

      • Businesses operate in a multi-factor risk environment,

        with cost pressures (47%), supply chain disruption (33%) and weak UK growth (25%) all featuring prominently.

      • Technology investment has increased to 66%,

        representing the biggest shift seen anywhere in the dataset compared with the previous wave.

      • 61% plan to enter new markets and 63% plan to launch new products or services,

        showing that growth ambitions remain firmly intact.

      • 57% expect to fund growth through internal funds,

        while 45% anticipate using private equity, demonstrating a balanced approach to financing expansion.




      Sector insights and outlook

      Sector-level findings reveal how priorities, pressures and opportunities vary across the private enterprise landscape. Family businesses remain more cautious than the wider market, while sector analysis highlights differing investment priorities, growth ambitions and policy expectations across technology, retail, professional services and industrial businesses.


      Highlights

      • Family businesses are less confident about growth than the wider market,

        with 54% confident in their growth prospects over the next year, compared with 80% nationally. This suggests family-owned firms are taking a more cautious view of the economic outlook.

      • Family businesses place greater emphasis on succession planning,

        with 27% citing succession and ownership transition planning as a key long-term consideration, compared with 19% nationally. This reflects the distinct strategic challenges associated with long-term ownership and leadership continuity. 

      • Technology businesses are leading investment in digital transformation,

        with 87% prioritising technology investment – the highest level of any major sector. This reinforces the sector's role at the forefront of AI adoption, cyber security and innovation-led growth. 

      • Retail businesses are placing greater emphasis on workforce development,

        with 58% prioritising workforce and skills investment compared with 37% nationally. This highlights the sector's focus on talent, productivity and operational capability. 

      • Professional services firms remain highly growth-focused,

        with 73% of businesses in business, consulting and management planning to enter new markets over the next five years. This demonstrates continued ambition to expand services, customer bases and geographic reach. 

      • Engineering and manufacturing businesses are prioritising growth through new offerings,

        with 85% planning to create new service lines or product categories over the next five years. This points to strong innovation and diversification ambitions across the sector.




      Regional insights

      London combines ambition with scale. The capital records some of the strongest indicators of growth activity in the survey, with 77% of businesses planning to enter new markets and 50% expecting private equity to support their growth ambitions, both above the national average. However, London is also more exposed than most regions to global uncertainty, with 39% identifying supply chain and trade disruption as a key risk. The result is a region that remains outward-looking and growth-oriented, but highly attuned to international economic conditions.

      The South East presents a more measured profile than many of its peers. Businesses report lower exposure to inflation and cost pressures than the UK average, with 41% citing them as a key concern compared with 47% nationally. Despite this, acquisition activity remains relatively subdued at 18%, and private equity usage sits slightly below average. Rather than pursuing aggressive expansion, many firms appear focused on steady, sustainable growth, supported by a comparatively favourable risk environment.

      The South West's story is less about growth at any cost and more about building capability. Workforce and skills investment is higher than the national average, with 41% prioritising it, while concerns around supply chain disruption are notably lower than elsewhere in the UK. Confidence sits slightly below the national average, but businesses in the region appear focused on strengthening their organisations from within. In many respects, the South West reflects a longer-term approach to growth, centred on people and capability rather than rapid expansion.

      Businesses in the East of England appear particularly conscious of external disruption. Supply chain and trade risks are cited by 39% of respondents, significantly above the national average of 33% and among the highest levels recorded in the survey. At the same time, workforce investment sits below the UK average, suggesting many firms are prioritising resilience and managing external risks over broader capability-building. The picture is one of cautious pragmatism: businesses remain active, but with a clear eye on the challenges emerging beyond their immediate markets.

      Mergers and acquisitions feature more prominently in the East Midlands than anywhere else in the survey. More than a quarter of businesses (27%) view acquisition as part of their growth plans, above the national average of 22%. While confidence and expansion activity remain more measured than in some neighbouring regions, the data suggests businesses are pursuing targeted opportunities where they can accelerate growth, consolidate market position or access new capabilities through deal activity.

      The West Midlands combines growth ambition with a willingness to pursue a range of expansion strategies. Seventy per cent of businesses plan to enter new markets, while 26% are considering acquisitions, making the region one of the most active in the UK for inorganic growth. That combination suggests businesses are not simply looking to grow organically but are actively exploring multiple routes to scale. In a challenging market, the West Midlands appears focused on seizing opportunities rather than waiting for conditions to improve.

      Wales is one of the more cautious regions in the dataset when it comes to expansion. Only 39% of businesses plan to enter new markets, significantly below the national average of 61%, while acquisition activity also lags the wider UK picture at just 12%. That does not necessarily point to pessimism; rather, it suggests a preference for consolidation and careful capital allocation in a challenging economic climate. Welsh businesses appear focused on strengthening existing operations before pursuing more ambitious growth plans.

      Unlike some regions that show sharp divergences from the national picture, the North East is characterised by consistency. Most indicators sit broadly in line with UK averages, suggesting a business community that remains steady despite wider economic pressures. Confidence is slightly above the national norm, but the biggest story here is the absence of major outliers. In a survey where many regions show strong biases toward particular risks or growth strategies, the North East presents a picture of balance and stability.

      The North West emerges as one of the UK's most expansion-minded regions. Nearly three-quarters (73%) of businesses plan to enter new markets, comfortably ahead of the national average of 61%. While confidence remains strong, what stands out most is the region's willingness to pursue growth despite ongoing economic uncertainty. Rather than retrenching, many businesses appear focused on extending their reach, suggesting a degree of resilience and optimism that continues to underpin the regional economy.

      Yorkshire & Humber combines confidence with ambition. Seventy per cent of businesses plan to enter new markets, placing the region among the UK's strongest performers for expansion activity. What makes this particularly notable is that businesses continue to pursue growth despite the same pressures facing firms elsewhere in the country. Rather than being defined by risk, the regional picture is one of momentum, with organisations continuing to explore new opportunities and markets as part of their long-term growth strategies.

      Scotland stands out as one of the more cautious regions in the Pulse. While a majority of businesses remain confident, confidence levels sit below the national average and businesses are noticeably less focused on expansion than the wider UK picture suggests. Only 41% plan to enter new markets, compared with 61% nationally, while 55% cite inflation and rising costs as a key concern – the highest proportion of any UK region. Private equity also plays a smaller role in growth plans, suggesting many businesses are taking a measured approach to growth while navigating a particularly challenging cost environment.



      Download

      Private Enterprise Barometer 2026

      Explore the findings from KPMG’s Barometer 2026 report, published earlier this year, and discover the trends that set the context for the Barometer Pulse 2026 findings.


      A temperature check on private enterprises

      Listen to Euan West, Head of UK Regions at KPMG UK, as he shares his views on the Barometer’s findings and discusses strategies that organisations can employ to advance growth on our KPMG's "Insights in 15" podcast.



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