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      It’s time once again for our mid-year pulse check of private enterprises. How is their confidence and business health holding up?

      Not for the first time, the UK’s mid-market businesses show themselves to be natural carriers of positivity, with 80% of leaders describing themselves as confident or very confident about their firm’s prospects over the coming year.

      Given the extreme volatility of the environment thus far in 2026, especially on the international and geopolitical stage, this degree of confidence is striking. But at the same time, it marks a drop from the 87% we recorded at the end of 2025, while 12 months ago confidence was in the nineties. And analysing the numbers more forensically, there has been an appreciable fall in those describing themselves as very confident – from 41% six months ago to 32% now.

      What’s more, when we look at the results by turnover/size, clear differences emerge. Confidence is much higher at the large end – 90% of leaders in businesses with a turnover of £500m+ express confidence – but the percentages steadily fall the smaller a company becomes – down to just 49% amongst micro businesses with turnover below £1m. Another stark comparison is between private enterprises and family-owned businesses, where the readings are 82% versus 54% respectively.

      Euan West

      Head of UK Regions and UK & EMA Head of KPMG Private Enterprise, Head of Markets & Growth

      KPMG in the UK



      Headwinds in a nuanced market

      What this tells us is that the market businesses are operating in is highly nuanced. Much depends on your size, your level of reserves and your ownership/funding structure – all of which can act as safety nets. Family businesses clearly continue to have concerns about wealth preservation, succession and IHT. The sector you operate in naturally matters too: technology firms, for example, are significantly more confident than those in retail or hospitality.

      For most, the operating environment is tough with multiple headwinds. Costs have increased, inflation has risen, there is a general sense of unpredictability in the market, and consumer spending continues to be reined in by the cost of living.

      Against these pressures we must place the almost inherent positivity of the UK’s private enterprises leaders who are naturally entrepreneurial, can-do and ambitious. The result is what we see in our pulse survey: continuing confidence, but with hairline cracks showing through.

      I for one am actually encouraged by this. It shows that private enterprise leaders are not blind optimists with their heads in the sand: they are realists who see and understand the market they are faced with, and are rolling up their sleeves to deal with it.

      Investment in technology and people

      This feeds through into investment plans. As in our previous wave of research, technology including AI is the dominant investment area (cited by 66%), far ahead of workforce & skills in second place (37%). It has been another aspect of encouragement to me that businesses are taking a much more evolved approach to AI now. After the initial hype wave of excitement, work has settled into a more deliberate and focused mindset – identifying use cases and specific processes that can be re-engineered through AI or automation. To do this, it’s essential that there is a mature data layer to feed into AI solutions. Reaching this data maturity is now the focus for many – having perhaps been under-invested in historically. Getting from value-adding use cases to enterprise scale change will be the next stage in the evolution.

      While workforce & skills rank some way behind technology for investment, nevertheless the percentage citing this as a priority has jumped by 12%. This perhaps indicates the realisation that to get the best out of AI, investment in upskilling is essential. But it also perhaps shows that leaders are cognisant of the strains of today’s fast-paced and uncertain environment on their people. Investing in and supporting staff remains a critical priority.


      Resilience is all

      Supporting your people is an important aspect of another key theme in our survey findings: resilience. Just as much as retaining your growth ambitions, keeping your business resilient is a fundamental component of dealing with challenging external conditions. Inflation and cost pressures are seen as the biggest short-term risks to manage, followed by global disruption impacting supply chains.

      Operational resilience across supply chains and third parties, together with maintaining strong cybersecurity, are strong priorities that I see day-in, day-out with my clients.

      Level playing fields

      Another contributory factor to resilience is a stable macro environment. The stability and predictability of the UK tax and regulatory environment is ranked as the second most important factor for long-term investment and growth (behind actual UK economic performance and productivity).

      Private enterprise leaders are stoical and pragmatic. Rather like our football teams, they will play what’s in front of them and adapt their tactics as needed. But at the same time, having a settled policy environment in which to do so is enormously helpful. It is hard to make investment decisions when you don’t know what the landscape around you is going to look like.

      Eyes will also soon be turning towards this year’s Autumn Budget – and here, the measures that business want to see prioritised are those that support technology adoption and digital capability (41%), followed by growth-focused investment and industrial strategy (39%) and business profitability and competitiveness (34%).


      Keeping moving

      Whatever comes next, it is clear that mid-market businesses have the determination and drive to deal with it. They will continue to pursue their growth and performance agendas, recognising that the biggest cost of all comes from doing nothing. You can’t stand still in today’s market. We look forward to continuing to help the UK’s private enterprises as they keep on moving on their journey.



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