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      Private enterprises want a stable tax and regulatory environment with no surprises

      Richard Hall, KPMG

      Changes in recent Budgets have put more cost pressure onto businesses, particularly higher employer national insurance contributions, changes to inheritance tax and business property relief, as well as increases to the National Minimum Wage.

      Nearly every business has seen an increase in tax and employment costs overall. This underlines the fact that tax is a cost on the P&L just like any other, and needs to be monitored and managed accordingly. This is all the more important when trading conditions are challenging.

      Desire for certainty

      Our latest Pulse survey of private enterprise leaders shows tax certainty and predictability feature high up executive wish lists. When asked what factors are most likely to influence their long-term planning for growth, investment and exit, the stability and predictability of the tax and regulatory environment was the second highest factor (45%), only ranking behind the UK’s overall economic outlook (56%). It’s a measure of the extent to which tax is now on the strategic decision-making radar.

      Thinking about the biggest short-term risks to their business, it was ongoing cost pressures (inflation, energy, materials, services) that dominated (47%) responses from business leaders. Tax is also a component of these costs, of course. The second highest short-term risk was global disruption impacting supply chains (33%) – as has been thrown into sharp focus recently through the conflict in Iran and the disruption in the Straits of Hormuz. Third on the list was tax and fiscal policy uncertainty following the 2025 Autumn Budget (25%), underlining once again the desire for tax predictability.

      Richard Hall

      Partner - Tax and Legal

      KPMG in the UK

      New administration

      With a new Government established and this year’s autumn Budget approaching, interest is turning to potential tax policy changes – with speculation on the potential for movement on wealth and property tax, as well as on capital gains. This coincides with an open Government consultation on “Modernising the taxation of distributions and repayments of capital from companies”. Whilst the aims of the consultation make clear that the Government is not looking to disrupt legitimate commercial activity, the proposals as they stand will inevitably have commercial ramifications for businesses and their shareholders. The consultation, launched towards the end of June, closes in September. There will be considerable interest to see what next steps are announced thereafter.



      Tax as a growth lever

      We mustn’t forget that, just as much as it is a cost, tax can also be a stimulator of growth. Well designed and effectively targeted incentives and reliefs in areas such as R&D and capital allowances can be powerful catalysts for increased business investment. Our Pulse survey shows that there is clear growth ambition amongst private enterprise leaders, which a supportive tax environment could help to nurture: nearly two-thirds of them say that they plan to diversify their business in the next five years by creating new service lines or products or by entering new markets including overseas.

      In terms of what mid-market leaders would like to see prioritised at the next Budget, measures to support technology adoption and digital capability was the front runner (41%) as businesses look to leverage new technology including AI, but this was closely followed by a growth focused investment and industrial strategy (39%) and business profitability and competitiveness (34%).

      Stability and certainty in the tax environment is highly valued by business leaders, as our Pulse survey shows. It can stimulate business ambition and activity, in turn raising the prospects for growth, and it can incentivise transformation and stimulate investment, when policy changes and interventions are well designed and clearly communicated.



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      Business insights from the UK's privately owned companies & entrepreneurs

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