The India Union Budget 2026-27 is expected to be presented on 1 February 2026 as India’s economy is forecast to expand by 7–7.5 per cent, driven by resilient consumer spending, infrastructure upgrades, and ongoing policy initiatives. Corporate deal activity remains robust, with M&A volumes reaching USD 61.3 billion in H1 20251, and foreign investment inflow continues to rise. However, tax litigation remains a challenge, with over 540,000 pending appeals2, signaling the need for faster disposal of tax appeals and clarity and simplification in tax laws. Against this backdrop, several tax measures are expected to accelerate progress and strengthen India’s global competitiveness.
The government is promoting fast-track mergers and demergers. However, the Income-tax Act, 2025 does not provide for tax neutrality to fast-track demergers, creating uncertainty for businesses. Granting tax-neutral status is expected to streamline restructuring, cut compliance burdens, and allow businesses to reorganise swiftly and unlock new growth opportunities.
Another expectation is the rationalisation of holding period for slump sale transactions. While most assets qualify as long-term after 12 or 24 months, undertakings transferred through slump sale still require a 36-month holding period. Lowering this threshold to 24 months would align regulations and enhance the appeal of asset transfers and reallocating capital effectively.
On the international tax front, MAT exemptions for foreign companies taxable in India under presumptive tax regimes (i.e., operation of ships, aircrafts, civil construction, oil exploration services) is available only if their income solely comprises of income from the said specified businesses. The current provision creates a challenge when incidental income is earned alongside business income, potentially exposing these foreign companies to MAT. A clear exemption would help improve India’s competitiveness for foreign companies engaged in these businesses in India.
Similarly, removing ambiguity in the definition of Associated Enterprises would reduce compliance complexity and disputes in transfer pricing. Overlapping clauses and unclear thresholds often lead to litigation. A more objective and streamlined definition would simplify reporting and enhance certainty for multinational groups.
Extending dividend tax exemption for IFSC investors is expected to make India’s financial ecosystem more competitive globally. While interest income from IFSC units is exempt, dividends to non-resident shareholders are taxed at 10 per cent. Removing this tax would attract long-term foreign capital and strengthen India’s position as a hub for wealth management and global investment funds.
In addition, several GST‑related measures are expected to significantly improve cash flows, reduce disputes, and enhance ease of doing business. A key anticipated reform is the deletion of Section 13(8)(b) of the IGST Act, which would shift the place of supply for intermediary services from the supplier’s location to the recipient’s location. This change would align India’s GST framework with global tax principles, reduce litigation in cross‑border transactions, and provide much‑needed clarity for service exporters.
Simplification is also expected in relation to post‑sale discounts through amendments to Section 15(3)(b) of the CGST Act. Removing the requirement for discounts to be pre‑agreed and linked to specific invoices would bring GST provisions closer to commercial realities, reduce procedural complexity, and ease compliance for businesses operating high‑volume or incentive‑based pricing models.
Further, the proposed omission of Section 54(14) of the CGST Act, which currently prescribes a minimum threshold for export refund claims, would be a major relief for small and medium exporters. This measure would enable exporters using courier and postal channels to access GST refunds without value restrictions, directly improving liquidity and export competitiveness.
Another impactful expectation is the introduction of provisional refunds for inverted duty structure cases by amending Section 54(6) of the CGST Act. Allowing risk‑based provisional sanction of refunds would speed up access to working capital, reduce prolonged refund delays, and place inverted duty refunds on par with zero‑rated supplies, offering timely relief to affected industries.
One hopes that the direct and indirect tax changes in the upcoming budget will deliver a tax ecosystem that is simpler, predictable, and aligned with the best global practices. By reducing disputes, easing compliance, and improving cash flow efficiencies, the budget has the potential to unlock investment, support exporters and MSMEs, and reinforce India’s position as a preferred destination for global capital.
[1] Indian M&A boom returns: $61.3 billion deals in H1 2025, highest since 2022, ABP Live, June 2025.
[2] India’s Pending Income Tax Cases Top 539,000 in FY25, BW Businessworld, December 2025.
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Key expectations from the Union Budget 2026-27
- Personal taxation
- Corporate income tax
- Mergers & Acquisition
- Banking, Financial Services and Insurance
- Transfer pricing
- Indirect tax
KPMG in India leaders on Pre-Budget 2026-27
- Abhishek Jain
- Narayanan Ramaswamy
- Parizad Sirwalla
- Akhilesh Tuteja
- Nilachal Mishra
- Neeraj Bansal
- Himanshu Parekh
- Kalpesh Maroo
- Gaurav Mehndiratta
- Waman Parkhi
- Customs Duty Slabs Cut to 4
- Budget 2026: Boosting Make-in-India
- Customs Amnesty: Unlocking Certainty
The focus of the Finance Minister on indirect taxes seems to be customs. Currently, we have about 8 tariff slabs. For an importer, multiple tariff slabs cause complications with respect to the classification, structure, and disputes related to the appropriate rate of customs duty. It is thus, expected, that these 8 slabs may be rationalised to about 4 customs duty slabs.
Amid global uncertainty and ongoing tariff wars, the industry is looking to Budget 2026 for stronger support for Make-in-India. Expectations include rationalisation of customs duties on key raw materials, simplification of duty slabs to reduce compliance friction, and a one-time window to resolve legacy disputes and litigation.
Faster closure of related-party valuation approvals for importers, with maybe post-clearance risk-based audits instead of the current tedious process, is seen as a practical step towards improving ease of doing business and supply-chain efficiency.
A well-designed amnesty scheme for pending customs litigation could significantly reduce burden on courts and tribunals, unlock blocked revenue and provide certainty to businesses. If structured with reasonable settlement terms and clear eligibility, such a scheme can be a powerful tool for dispute resolution and improving ease of doing business
Narayanan Ramaswamy
National Leader - Education and Skill Development, Government and Public Services
KPMG in India
The human capital of India is shaped through our education and skilling institutions; Union Budget 2026 could provide the much-needed impetus for it. Research, innovation and asset creating should take centre stage in our higher education (HE) institutions. Funding for HE institutions – especially run by private sectors – new as well as expansion of existing institutions – need to have easier and cheaper access to funds. We should treat this an investment like in the case of Infrastructure.
- Tax relief for salaried class
- Labour reform for a global Future
Since salaried taxpayers do not have any avenue to claim deduction for increased cost of living / other expenses (unlike a person earning business income), there is an ongoing expectation that the standard deduction is enhanced periodically keeping in mind the rate of inflation prevailing in the economy.
Despite the inevitable transitional challenges, the new Labour Codes mark a progressive and transformative shift-simplifying compliance, strengthening worker welfare, fostering inclusivity, and aligning India’s labour framework with global standards
The most impactful step to make India an AI leader is scaling compute access nationwide. With 38,000 GPUs, the IndiaAI Mission has shown considerable progress. The next phase must expand this capacity dramatically and link it directly with skilling, research and industry adoption.
- Infrastructure: India’s Growth Anchor
- India’s Trade Policy at a Crossroads
Nilachal Mishra
Partner and Head, Government & Public Services (G&PS), National Leader - Government and Infrastructure
KPMG in India
As India seeks to sustain 6.5-7% growth amid global slowdown risks, infrastructure provides a stable domestic anchor. It strengthens export competitiveness by lowering logistics and energy costs, supports long-term objectives such as manufacturing scale-up and the energy transition, and sends a clear signal of policy continuity to markets. For investors and businesses planning long-term capital commitments, that signal matters.
Nilachal Mishra
Partner and Head, Government & Public Services (G&PS), National Leader - Government and Infrastructure
KPMG in India
India's trade strategy is at a critical juncture, shifting from broad liberalisation to selective engagement. New trade pacts diversify markets, while domestic initiatives like PLI schemes build manufacturing strength. The upcoming Union Budget must focus on enhancing access, ensuring assurance in supply chains, and fostering agility to navigate global trade disruptions and secure India's competitive edge.
The year ahead will once again test how global trade adapts to uncertain and volatile changes. While challenges exist, the global economy will keep evolving, rewarding businesses and countries that stay flexible, watchful, and more aligned to long-term shifts. Resilience and not just growth will be a priority for India’s trade strategy. The upcoming budget presents a perfect platform to strengthen this approach. Building on the export promotion mission launched last year, the government can introduce more trade-related reforms this year, specifically targeting tariff-related solutions. Besides, India can expedite FTA negotiations with markets such as the U.S., the EU, and Mexico
With a view to provide a boost to fast-track demergers, it will greatly help the industry if the Government can allow tax neutrality in respect thereof. The industry also seeks clarity on tax neutrality in respect of transfer of investments by the demerged company to the resulting company where the demerged company is an investment holding company or is engaged in financial services business.
Budget 2026 presents an opportunity to boost India's strategic technology ambitions. Reforms in tax and regulations are crucial for attracting investment and facilitating cross-border deals. This will help India build capacity and capability in emerging sectors. The government aims to accelerate innovation and manufacturing. Strategic collaborations will be key to achieving the Viksit Bharat vision by 2047
For India to become a global defence industrial power, increased capital expenditure and a significant boost to defence R&D are crucial. Bold tax incentives will encourage private sector and startup involvement in defence production and exports.
Waman Parkhi
Partner, Indirect Tax
KPMG in India
Providing clear policy support for strong hybrids by extending concessional GST rates or customs duty benefits, and rationalising duties on batteries, semiconductors, transmission kits and CKD kits for small cars - linked to localisation milestones - would help OEMs manage costs without undermining domestic manufacturing.
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